In the middle to late first rounds of many fantasy football drafts, Jacksonville's Maurice Jones-Drew will be a very sexy pick.

Some fantasy owners will be thrilled to get the second-year running back, who ran for 941 yards and scored 16 total touchdowns in 2006. These owners are likely the inexperienced ones; those who will draft teams that look good on paper but won't look so good come playoff time.

Then, there will be the crafty fantasy football veterans, who know that drafting experience over promise is always the better plan.

You see, in most drafts, Jones-Drew will be lumped in a pool of running backs that includes guys like, Cincy's Rudi Johnson, New Orleans' reggie bush, Dallas' Julius Jones and Minnesota's Adrian Peterson.

Some will love the potential of Peterson, whom many compare to Marshall Faulk, while others will be attracted to Bush's versatility.

Others won't be able to stay away from those 16 touchdowns by Jones-Drew.

For my money and playoff future, though, if he falls to me and the others in the previously-mentioned group are available, I'm treating Jones-Drew like scorpian - I'm moving as far away as possible.

I know Jones-Drew will be a high first-round pick in my basic-scoring league - maybe even as high as sixth or seventh. I select ninth in a 14-team league.

This promising, young back is just that, promising. He lacks the experience that I want in a first-round pick - the guy that is going to anchor my fantasy football team. Fred Taylor is still running well in Jacksonville, and having a guy that splits time as my top selection is not something I relish.

So, I'm taking Rudi Johnson, a guy who has steadily produced around 1,400 yards and exactly 12 scores, in each of the last three seasons.

Just remember, come fantasy football draft day, as promising as a guys like Jones-Drew, Bush and Peterson may be, you need a rock in the first round. You need experience.